Seasonal Monitor

Despite recent rainfall, large moisture deficits remain; rainfall likely to remain below average

June 12, 2015

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Rainfall over Haiti improved during late May and the first week of June, and while concentrated over abnormally dry northeastern areas of the country, rainfall was generally below normal elsewhere. The continuation of the below-average rainfall has further increased 30-day moisture deficits and abnormal dryness across most areas. 

  • The Soil Water Index for June 6-10 (Figure 1) indicates moisture deficits remain over many areas of Haiti, particularly along the southern peninsula and in North-West Department. While moisture appears “satisfactory” for the five-day period in question in many areas, previous rainfall deficits and a forecasted continuation of below-average rainfall could result in worsening moisture conditions for crop growth.

  • The rainfall forecast (Figure 2) for the next eight days indicates rainfall from 20-50 mm, suggesting a continuation of below-average rainfall. Nevertheless the occurrence of a local climatic disturbance would increase the values of rainfall over the island. 

  

About this Report

The seasonal monitor, produced by the FEWS NET USGS regional scientist and FEWS NET Regional Technical Manager, updates rainfall totals, the impact on production, and the short-term forecast. It is produced every 20 days during the production season. Find more remote sensing information here.

 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.